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Wednesday, January 19, 2022

Dubai entities have developed a new model to predict the spread of Covid-19

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Dubai elements have built up another epidemiological model to anticipate Covid-19 spread.

Scientists at Smart Dubai and the Mohammed Bin Rashid University of Medicine and Health Sciences (MBRU) created and tried a particular adaptation of the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Removed (SEIR) model, which is better ready to catch the one of a kind elements of the Covid-19 flare-up.

SEIR model is generally utilized in the study of disease transmission to numerically model the spread of irresistible sicknesses with hatching periods.

The recently evolved model — called Susceptible-Exposed-Asymptomatic-Hospitalized-Isolated-Removed (SEAHIR) — can figure medical care prerequisites and furthermore contemplate the effect of non-drug intercessions, for example, physical separating, and distinctive testing systems on the quantity of affirmed cases.

The group utilized a freely accessible dataset from the UAE as a contextual investigation to advance the primary boundaries of the model and benchmark it against the chronicled number of cases.

The SEAHIR model was utilized by Dubai’s Covid-19 Command and Control Center to make convenient measures on creating testing procedures, expanding medical services limit, and executing intercessions to contain the spread of the infection.

The tale six-compartment SEAHIR model could be used and reached out by leaders and scientists in different countries for momentum or future pandemics.

“This paper is a huge achievement as it traces our information driven way to deal with tending to the Covid-19 pandemic, with an uncommon spotlight on the UAE and Dubai,” said Younus Al Nasser, aide chief general of Smart Dubai, and CEO of the Dubai Data Establishment.

“Our way to deal with taking care of the pandemic and its repercussions repeated our strategies to drive Dubai’s advanced change and feasible turn of events, where we reliably depend on precise information when arranging Dubai’s change into the most joyful shrewd city of things to come,” said Al Nasser, was one of six creators who built up the paper.

Different creators who built up the paper are Dr Alexandros Leontitsis and Dr Aamena Alshamsi from Smart Dubai and Professor Alawi Alsheikh-Ali, Professor Abiola Senok, and Dr Tom Loney from the College of Medicine at the Mohammed bin Rashid University of Medicine and Health Sciences.

“Cooperation and sharing of information is critical to finishing the worldwide pandemic,” said Dr Amer Sharif, bad habit chancellor, MBRU, and Head of the Dubai Covid-19 Command and Control Center.


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